Category Archives: Oil services
We initiate coverage of Solstad Farstad with a BUY recommendation and target price of NOK 10. We estimate a NAV/sh of NOK 12.6, but this estimate is extremely elastic to movements in fleet values due to an estimated adjusted equity ratio of a mere 10%. Thus, +/- 10% change in the fleet valuation leaves NAV +/-84% at NOK 23.1/2.1 per share.
We view the share as a good investment for the less risk averse investor, seeking exposure to an oil service behemoth at an entry-point around 40% below recent share purchases by Mr John Fredriksen (17% ownership).
We initiate coverage of Noble Corporation with a BUY recommendation and target price of USD 12
The company has a large fleet of attractive assets, a balanced contract backlog and a decent liquidity position. We believe the company is well positioned to take advantage of the looming expansionary phase of the cycle.
We initiate coverage of Rowan Companies with a BUY recommendation and target price of USD 20
The company has a fleet of four UDWs and 25 jackups of which only two are currently stacked. The company's earnings visibility is strong based on the current contract backlog, further supported by the recently announced JV with Saudi Aramco. Add to this a coffer of USD 1.3bn and improving earnings ahead, we deem the company a defensive investment at the trough, but with the a free option on a cyclical recovery.
We initiate coverage of Atwood Oceanics with a BUY recommendation and target price of USD 19
The company has four modern UDWs/Drillships and five modern Jackups on the water, in addition to an aging Deepwater rig and two UDW newbuildings stacked at DSME until 2019/20 but deliverable at Atwood's option.
We initiate coverage of Ensco with a BUY recommendation and target price of USD 17
The company has 59 rigs on the water in addition to two deferred newbuildings, a market cap of USD 2.5bn and is on of the most liquid names in the industry. Despite this, we estimate the company is trading at a discount to NAV and an implied 3% discount per rig at current trough levels.
We initiate coverage of Northern Drilling with a BUY recommendation and target price of NOK 90
All the time Seadrill remains in disarray, Northern Drilling has emerged as the new investment vehicle for Fredriksen ahead of the next cyclical upturn in the rig space. The company currently has two more or less complete semi-sub newbuildings warehoused at HHI, and the main assumption is for delivery in Jan/19.
Borr Drilling today announced the LOI to purchase Transocean’s 15 jackups in addition to a USD 800m equity offering. The accretive nature of these corporate events leads us to raise our target price to NOK 60 (from 54).
We initiate coverage of Songa Offshore with a BUY recommendation and target price of NOK 47
Songa Offshore has