Dry Bulk Shipping: Enough Dry Powder Left for the Next Boom (78 page report)

As we stand in the seasonally weakest dry bulk market of the year, we cannot help notice that spot rates YTD are up 25%, 1y time charters are at 3y highs and that FFAs reflect the same. The only pieces missing are a corresponding appreciation in asset and share prices, but we believe it is just a matter of time. Net supply growth of close to zero over the next two years vs a positive demand growth will add to the ongoing cyclical expansion. We reiterate our BUY on dry bulk shipping and see shares potentially 150% higher in one year.